Overview

I am a PhD student working on seasonal forecasting of the physical marine environment of the European North West shelf seas, expecting to finish in spring 2025. I am looking into both inherent sources of predictability in the unique physical environment of shelf seas as well as how the interaction with atmospheric modes of variability impacts predictability.

Generally, I am interested in long range weather and climate predictability in dynamical forecasting systems and surface climate applications.

My background is in climate sciences and I have previously worked on mesoscale oceanography (eddies) physical-biogeochemical extreme events.

Publications:

Atkins, J., Tinker, J., Graham, J. Scaife, A., & Halloran, P. 2024. Seasonal forecasting of the European North-West shelf seas: limits of winter and summer sea surface temperature predictability. Climate Dynamics. In review.

Atkins, J., Andrews, O., & Frenger, I. (2022). Quantifying the contribution of ocean mesoscale eddies to low oxygen extreme events. Geophysical Research Letters, 49. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL098672

Broad research specialisms:

Seasonal forecasting, weather and climate science, shelf seas physical environment.

Qualifications

MScR mesoscale oceanography & climate extremes, University of Bristol (2019 – 2021)

BSc Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol (2016 – 2019)

Links

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Research

Research interests

Seasonal-to-decadal forecasting, predictability, teleconnections, climate extremes, shelf seas applications.

Research Groups:

ExOceans

Links

• Twitter

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